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  • Back to the Bad Old Days?

    Spoiler Alert...

    It may be to early to infer much based on one race weekend in WSBK, but it is looking like another championship romp is underway for Ducati. Not taking anything away from Bautista; he is a great rider and takes full advantage of his light weight- as has Ducati, which changed ergo's on the bike this year to let him get more of his weight over the front wheel. Watching the Ducati's blast past the other bikes on the straights tells me the horsepower/RPM advantage conferred by Dorna on the Ducati remains intact. Four of the first five bikes were Ducati's, with the two factory machines crossing the line long before the only non-Duc in the first five (Locatelli riding his Yamaha superbly) appeared on the final straight. (Kawasaki's miserable weekend was due to more than the Duc domination, but that's another story.) In addition, the Ducati is now sporting 6" long wings on its fairing, as some of their Moto-GP tech gets sent downstream. Makes sense- you can't use that big power advantage if the bike is trying to wheelie all the time.

    Meanwhile, the Kawi, Yamaha and Honda are now looking pretty equal. But this is starting to look like the 1990's, when Ducati's huge rules advantage let them own the sport for most of the decade. Only when Honda gave up trying to beat 1000cc twins with a 750 four, and took two titles with the RC51, did Dorna finally level the displacement playing field. But I guess they got sick of Ducati not winning again, so here we are once more with rules that favor the Italian marque, and a bike that has been clearly faster for the past several years. However, I think and hope they will only let this period of Duc domination continue for another year or two, and then the power levels might get equalized again. We will see.

    Of more concern to me is the worry that the Superbike product marketplace has shriveled up so much that only Ducati will be motivated to keep advancing the technology (and cost) of their Superbike, as the others might decide it is just not worth it. If the endgame of WSBK is selling bikes, and the sportbike market is disappearing, how do the makers justify the cost to shareholders? The scenario that may develop might look even more like GP racing in the 1960's than WSBK racing in the 1990's...

    Back in the 1960's, there was only one bike manufacturer that was serious about road racing, MV Augusta. They hired the best rider they could find in Agostini, and together they won 15 world championships. They won so often and so easily- sometimes by several MINUTES- that Ago some seasons would not even attend the last races of the year, having sewed up the title with room to spare. (And given how dangerous the tracks were, who could blame him for not racing if he did not have to?)

    So I ask myself, are Honda and Kawi and Yamaha going to build new-generation Superbikes, with a V-4 and downforce aero, if that is what is needed to match the Ducati? All to try to capture sales that are not there? If not, the gap between the desmo's and the rest will continue to widen and Ducati will continue to win WSBK titles by default, just as MV did all those years ago. And I think that is kind of likely- especially if the other makers conclude that even if they put in the resources, Dorna will keep tilting the rules to favor one firm.

    I have a similar worry for MotoGP. There, Ducati has earned their leadership position by spending tons on R&D, fielding eight bikes, and leading the MC world in using AI and F-1 style aerodynamics. Will the others make the same committment to catch up? Or was Suzuki just the first firm to throw in the towel? I hope not, but time will tell.
    Last edited by gregness; 02-26-2023, 12:41 PM.
    "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

  • #2
    The Ducks always seem to have an edge. For a small company, they spend a lot of dough.

    Comment


    • #3
      You gotta give praise to Ducati for their dedication to racing. They have done a ton of development work over the last 2 decades. Maybe the rules makers have left the door open for them, but you can't fault Ducati for barging right on in.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by mehush View Post
        You gotta give praise to Ducati for their dedication to racing. They have done a ton of development work over the last 2 decades. Maybe the rules makers have left the door open for them, but you can't fault Ducati for barging right on in.
        Absolutely! In MotoGP they have 100% earned their success, and suffered through a very long period of NOT winning championships to get there. In WSBK they have done similar work and brought the knowledge gained in MotoGP to bear, resulting in a fabulous machine and a well-run team. What they do not need is a rules advantage that is so glaring. It cheapens their success and discourages the other makers, who may already be wondering why they spend so much money on Superbike racing.
        "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by gregness View Post
          What they do not need is a rules advantage that is so glaring.
          What rule change is that?

          I always hear people complaining about non Ducati's either being handicapped or Ducati is somehow being given an unfair advantage.

          Not saying that it isn't happening.

          Just don't know what IT is?

          Thanks!

          I have neither the time,or the inclination, to explain myself to a man, who rises and sleep under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner, in which I provide it. I'd rather you just say 'thank you' and go on your way.

          Comment


          • #6
            The most recent data I have on the RPM limits imposed on each machine by Dorna are from last year:
            Ducati V4: 16,100
            Kawi: 14,600
            Yamaha: 14,700

            They may have been revised since then. Assuming both machines make the same amount of torque, that gives a big advantage to the Ducati. Assuming 75 foot/lbs. at peak, that would be 230 HP for the Ducati and 209 HP for the Kawasaki.
            "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

            Comment


            • #7
              So why the difference in RPM ceiling?

              Due to engine configuration? V4 versus Inline 4?

              I remember when Ducati was running the V Twins and I thought there were handicaps due to displacement possibly??

              Or was that also an RPM issue where the Twin couldn't rev as high as the Inline 4?
              I have neither the time,or the inclination, to explain myself to a man, who rises and sleep under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner, in which I provide it. I'd rather you just say 'thank you' and go on your way.

              Comment


              • #8
                The Ducati 959 also cleaned up in SSP this weekend, beating the smaller bikes with the same ridiculous straightline advantage as the V4 has in WSBK. I just have to assume VAG is greasing the Dorna wheels to get the rules bent in their favor. On the street the Ducati V4 isn't even the most powerful liter bike, but they're making it look like the other factories can't build a motor.
                ​​​​

                Comment


                • #9
                  To answer Mike's question, the stated reasoning is to make it more "fair", and equalize performance. Which given the evidence, seems totally absurd. I think Dorna could not stand the idea of Jon Rea and Kawasaki winning a 7th championship...
                  "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by gregness View Post
                    To answer Mike's question, the stated reasoning is to make it more "fair", and equalize performance. Which given the evidence, seems totally absurd. I think Dorna could not stand the idea of Jon Rea and Kawasaki winning a 7th championship...
                    I understand that they re trying to make it "fair" but was looking for the specifics in the rules that were attempting to accomplish this.

                    You had mentioned the RPM limits and I was looking for specifics as to how they came up with that conclusion and why?

                    Or point me where to find the info and I'll look it up

                    Thanks
                    I have neither the time,or the inclination, to explain myself to a man, who rises and sleep under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner, in which I provide it. I'd rather you just say 'thank you' and go on your way.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      2.4.2.1 Balancing various motorcycle concepts
                      a) In order to equalise the performance of different brands of machine
                      rev limits will be individually applied to each brand.
                      b) Each season will begin with the same rev limits as the previous season
                      finished.
                      c) The rev limit will be adjusted according to Art. 2.4.3.2.
                      d) Updated machines with the same basic engine design will continue
                      with the manufacturers previous rev limit. Any new machines entering
                      with a redesigned engine will have their rev limit set by calculation.
                      e) For a new engine the initial rev limit will be either:
                      a) The lower of:
                      i) The RPM after the peak power at which the engine
                      produces 90% of the peak power figure, + 3%
                      ii) The RPM of the peak power + 700 rpm
                      OR
                      b) The manufacturer may choose to continue with the current
                      RPM by balancing (if the new engine maintains the same
                      number of cylinders).
                      f) To be a considered as a “new engine” all of the following
                      requirements must be met:
                      g) A new EU/ECE type approval with an update to the engine type
                      number (if no valid EU/ECE type approval then USA or ASIA).
                      h) Changes to the following parts (however if any of the following
                      components can be considered as a “Product Update” then they
                      will not be considered in declaring a “new engine”):
                      a) Changes to one of:
                      i) bore x stroke (at minimum 1 mm bore)
                      ii) layout change (e.g. “v” angle or cylinder plane)
                      iii) relocate main shafts, countershaft, or transmission gears/
                      gearbox layout (relative position of the shaft must be
                      changed requiring a new casting)
                      iv) Valvetrain type change or valve actuation type change
                      2022 FIM Superbike, Supersport & Supersport 300 World Championships Regulations
                      86 update 23 March 2022
                      SBK
                      b) Or changes to three of:
                      i) in/ex valve change (shape/material type e.g. steel to ti)
                      ii) conrod change (weigh 4%/material/length 2mm/)
                      iii) abolishment of balancer (for homologated model)
                      iv) introduction of seamless transmission or a new kind of
                      actuation system
                      v) included valve angle change (need value)
                      vi) piston (weight by 4% or compression height by 1mm)
                      vii) crankshaft inertia change 8%
                      viii) Throttle body (split, bore, main dimensions)
                      ix) Airbox layout, air funnels and variable trumpets
                      mechanism.
                      i) The limiter in all gears will be analysed to check for anomalies.
                      Use the EU/ECE, USA or ASIA homologation dyno test on the OEM
                      motorcycles to determinate the Max power rpm. Without the
                      presentation of the EU/ECE, USA or ASIA homologation, the dyno
                      test will take place during the homologation inspection. (See part
                      4.0 Homologation, 1.4.b).
                      j) The Superbike Commission can at any time modify the handicap system
                      to ensure fair competition.
                      2.4.2.2 Balancing Calculation
                      1. The FIM/DWO algorithm will be used to balance the performance of
                      the machines relative to one another.
                      2. The algorithm may include but not be limited to the following signals:
                      a) Lap time relative to all other competitors
                      b) Speed traps
                      c) Number of riders per brand
                      2022 FIM Superbike, Supersport & Supersport 300 World Championships Regulations
                      87 update 23 March 2022
                      SBK
                      d) Anticipated individual rider performance
                      i) Per track
                      ii) Considering preceding rounds
                      e) Race results
                      f) Laps led
                      g) Overall race time
                      h) Change in balance following any rpm limiter changes
                      i) Bias towards recent results reflecting current performance
                      j) Any concession part updates being applied
                      3. The rev limit may be updated (according to Art. 2.4.3.2) at the end of
                      every 3rd event provided at least 3 events remain in the season.
                      4. The rev limit may also be updated at the end of the season.
                      5. FIM/DWO reserves the right to update the rpm balance at their
                      discretion in the case of an imbalance.
                      6. “Wet” races (as declared by the Race Director) are not taken in account
                      for the calculation.
                      2.4.2.3 Rev limit
                      The manufacturer specific rev limit will be adjusted in increments of
                      250 rpm (up or down).
                      The rev limit will be controlled by the manufacturers software and will be
                      monitored by the FIM/DWO rev-logger (see Art. 2.4.9.1). Over rev because
                      of downshift will be ignored. ECU Hard limiter must be set to the WSBK
                      specified rev limit.
                      2022 FIM Superbike, Supersport & Supersport 300 World Championships Regulations
                      88 update 23 March 2022
                      SBK
                      WSBK Initial rev-limit
                      Brand Proposed
                      Aprilia 14700
                      BMW 14950
                      BMW 2019 14900
                      Ducati V2 12400
                      Ducati V4 16100
                      Honda 15050
                      Honda 2020 15600
                      Kawasaki 2018 14100
                      Kawasaki 2019 14600
                      MV Agusta 14950
                      Suzuki 14900
                      Yamaha 14700
                      Yamaha 2020 14950
                      2.4.3 Concessions
                      a) Concession points are awarded according to the final results of all dry
                      races. Any rider can earn the concession points.
                      b) At the start of each season manufacturers will begin with 0 concession
                      points.
                      c) The points will be awarded during Superbike Races 1 and 2 (excluding
                      Superpole Race) as follows:
                      i) 1st place = 3 concession points
                      ii) 2nd place = 2 concession points
                      iii) 3rd place = 1 concession point
                      d) No updates can be made to the concession parts during the first three
                      races (excepting point h).
                      e) At the end of the first three rounds:
                      i) Any manufacturer whom achieves 9 or more points less than the
                      manufacturer with the most concession points may choose at their
                      discretion to make one update to their concession parts during
                      the season. The parts must be introduced simultaneously.
                      2022 FIM Superbike, Supersport & Supersport 300 World Championships Regulations
                      89 update 23 March 2022
                      SBK
                      f) Any manufacturer whom achieves 36 or more points less than the
                      manufacturer with the most concession points at the end of season
                      may update the concession part for the following season. This is
                      known as an update token.
                      g) Update tokens are cumulative during a season. An unused intra
                      season update may be added to the token in e. A concession point
                      earned after from round 4 may be used for an intra-season update.
                      Only one token may be used intra season (ie only one token carries
                      through).
                      h) FIM/DORNA reserve the right to allow, at their discretion, one further
                      update token during the season for new manufacturers entering the
                      series or for new homologations of bikes with a new design of engine.
                      i) The manufacturer must notify the SBK Technical Director of the full
                      combination/specification of parts to be used. This notification must
                      be made before the start of the season and again if a concession part
                      update is earned.
                      j) If a newly homologated machine maintains the same engine design
                      as its predecessor and the manufacturer has not earned a between
                      season update token then the new machine must begin with the same
                      engine specification as the last season with the eligible concession
                      part The SBK Technical Directors decision is final.
                      k) Machines considered as new will have their part declared eligible
                      by December 31st to allow part to be supplied to supported teams
                      for the first race. A minimum of 3 sets of part must be supplied to
                      teams before January 10th.
                      Our ability to distribute interesting information is out pacing our ability to create it.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        2.4.2.1

                        j) The Superbike Commission can at any time modify the handicap system
                        to ensure fair competition.​


                        2.4.2.2 Balancing Calculation

                        2. The algorithm may include but not be limited to the following signals:

                        a) Lap time relative to all other competitors
                        ...
                        ...
                        d) Anticipated individual rider performance​

                        Last edited by piken; 03-01-2023, 03:35 PM.
                        Our ability to distribute interesting information is out pacing our ability to create it.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I was looking for it this morning and it is surprisingly hard to find. A couple years ago there was some mumbo-jumbo about considering various equalizing factors and then the numbers I showed you here. Now I cannot find the current formula or anything detailed about the how and why. Which smells bad.
                          "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

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                          • #14
                            I see Piken found us the old mumbo-jumbo...
                            "The Price of Speed is Eternal Vigilance" 2015 ZX14R 30th, Four Kids

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                            • #15
                              Anyone that's interested in reading all 338 pages........

                              https://www.fim-moto.com/fileadmin/u...f?t=1677709111
                              Our ability to distribute interesting information is out pacing our ability to create it.

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